Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.016839 1.146249 1.287352 1.452874 1.642034 1.851825 2.102622
2025-12-28 0.845610 1.022640 1.231026 1.495443 1.823470 2.218890 2.734452
2026-01-04 0.724097 0.927266 1.181903 1.526780 1.985197 2.578464 3.412282
2026-01-11 0.635114 0.853425 1.141948 1.555130 2.138110 2.940909 4.146790
2026-01-18 0.563583 0.789253 1.101464 1.570817 2.268711 3.284206 4.903434
2026-01-25 0.495928 0.719639 1.041615 1.546564 2.332781 3.534040 5.554654
2026-02-01 0.430500 0.644125 0.962275 1.479949 2.319226 3.658127 6.020306
2026-02-08 0.382223 0.588139 0.904573 1.437282 2.333998 3.823527 6.572509
2026-02-15 0.344242 0.543549 0.858838 1.406688 2.361889 4.010128 7.184900
2026-02-22 0.326540 0.529167 0.859222 1.451456 2.521781 4.442346 8.309181
2026-03-01 0.305527 0.506906 0.843768 1.466225 2.628904 4.792045 9.330831
2026-03-08 0.279577 0.473597 0.805883 1.436147 2.648685 4.979252 10.055785
2026-03-15 0.253234 0.438136 0.762496 1.394414 2.647634 5.138928 10.781293
2026-03-22 0.243704 0.431720 0.770526 1.450781 2.847059 5.731285 12.562371
2026-03-29 0.232331 0.420771 0.769022 1.488414 3.014022 6.283014 14.366083
2026-04-05 0.221128 0.408974 0.764565 1.519379 3.171147 6.838176 16.294150
2026-04-12 0.209332 0.394838 0.754004 1.536229 3.299674 7.349201 18.221095
2026-04-19 0.194438 0.373201 0.726328 1.513253 3.335360 7.649283 19.663552
2026-04-26 0.176878 0.344650 0.681878 1.448507 3.265513 7.684035 20.394152
2026-05-03 0.163222 0.322885 0.649463 1.406963 3.245228 7.838755 21.496717
2026-05-10 0.151880 0.304949 0.623472 1.377134 3.249479 8.056909 22.833361
2026-05-17 0.147720 0.301769 0.628825 1.420897 3.443631 8.806340 25.952771
2026-05-24 0.141454 0.293509 0.622235 1.435337 3.564562 9.377741 28.652981